Pillar 01 · HTF bias · confluence

COT bias

Smart-money positioning from the weekly CFTC report. This sets your Daily/4H draw — Step 1 of the framework. Use it to confirm bias and to skip counter-flow setups, not to time entries.

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How to use it in the 9:30 model

  • 01Bias, not timing. COT is a weekly snapshot (Tue data, released Fri). It informs your Daily/4H draw — never your 9:30 trigger.
  • 02Align for A+. When today's intraday setup points the same way as the COT lean, that's a high-conviction A+ trade.
  • 03Filter counter-flow. When the setup fights the lean, be far more selective — this is how COT fights your overtrading.
  • 04Read the change. In indices, commercials are partly hedgers. Trust the weekly change + the spec extreme over the raw net.
  • 05Auto-refresh. New numbers pull from the CFTC feed every Saturday morning. Manual edit stays available as a fallback.
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